"Overall, we have now roughly over 650,000 people displaced and 1.4 or 1.5 million people - to be very honest, nobody really knows the concrete figures - are going to be affected. And the pattern looks to be sticking around.ĮL NINO'S ODDS FOR ‘HISTORICALLY STRONG’ EVENT INCREASE COULD LINGER THROUGH SPRINGĪ herder assists some of his goats to cross a flooded area next to a road destroyed by flash floods in Kenya. Together, they are overwhelming the Horn. "El Niño and the positive phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole tend to run in tandem, and that is indeed what we are seeing now."īoth the positive IOD and El Niño generally mean increased rainfall for the season. "The Indian Ocean Dipole has two phases much like ENSO (El Nino Southern Occilation), a positive phase when sea-surface temperatures are above average in the Indian Ocean and a negative phase when sea-surface temperatures are below average in the Indian Ocean," explained FOX Weather Senior Weather Data Specialist, Shane Brown. Officials blame two atmospheric phenomena: El Niño and the Indian Ocean Dipole. It's getting worse, and people will suffer more' (LUIS TATO/AFP / Getty Images) Blame El Nino: ‘It’s not at its peak. A boy carries water at an internally displaced persons (IDP) camp for families displaced by floods in Kenya,
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